Are the Dems going to blow it again?

The debate in Myrtle Beach, SC, broke records as over 5 million Americans tuned in for a good old-fashioned mudslinging contest. But unlike the GOP candidates, there really is very little difference between the positions of Clinton, Obama and Edwards on the important issues. All want a phased withdrawal of troops from Iraq, all support [...]

The mixed evidence of Nevada

More interesting exit polls over the weekend. I’m a little rushed today, so a detailed look will have to wait until later but three potentially very important points:
1. Obama won 83% of the black vote in Nevada. That’s really huge: African-Americans used to be some of the Clinton’s most loyal supports. Indeed, Bill has been [...]

The disintegration of the Republican broad church

Following on from yesterday’s post, the Michigan Republican exit polls also make interesting reading. However, income, class and education are no longer the important variables (though, crudely, it would seem that as you get richer you’re slightly more likely to vote Romney and slightly less likely to vote Huckabee; but that’s not exactly shocking). What’s [...]

The audacity of whose hope?

For five days, commentary on American politics was little more than a “Who loves Barack the most” contest (You have to love the Independent’s leader the day after New Hampshire: “Our front page yesterday may, regrettably, have given the impression that Barack Obama had beaten Hillary Clinton in Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary and was well [...]

Obama can still do it

Why did Hillary Clinton win New Hampshire? One answer is, perhaps, that the polls were wrong all along. Hillary is the candidate registered Democrat voters are embarrassed to admit they support, but support her they do. Barack Obama is the media darling; Hillary is the prosaic, sensible, tactical choice. She does not win votes with [...]

Faith and Politics: the monopoly of the Religious Right

Mike Huckabee’s Iowa victory last week has stirred a sleeping giant in US politics. It was a timely reminder that the Religious Right owns a large section of America’s conservative electorate. We can forget Barack Obama’s enormous grassroots appeal, his massive student following, his precinct captains and armies of volunteers. Nothing can match the pull [...]

Who should foreigners endorse for President?

Although the candidates have been campaigning for months, the Iowa caucuses today represent the first real step towards the election of the next President of the United States (Absolutely tonnes of coverage here and here. And while - of course - those of us who are not US citizens don’t get a vote, the next [...]

A dash to the right…and why Huckabee might come from nowhere

It may seem surprising to citizens of a country which may receive as little as three weeks notice before an election, but across the pond no sooner had the Republicans been routed in the 2006 mid-terms the campaign to be the 44th occupant of the White House began. The fact that campaigns are increasingly dependent [...]

Who wants to be President anyway?

These days, Al Gore jokes that he “used to be the next President of the United States”. But it seems that he now not only isn’t, but doesn’t want to be. This seems strange on the face of it. As I pointed out back in February he’s clearly flirted with the idea. He still has [...]

Yes, Minister – Or, the Importance of Titles

About a month ago, after receiving a large volume of emails on the topic, the journalists whose discussion forms the highlight of my week in the form of Slate’s Political Gabfest were forced to explain their reasons for referring to Hillary Clinton as ‘Hillary’ while others, such as John McCain, were respectively cited as ‘Senator [...]